The analytical publication Asia Times wrote about the possibility of Erdogan’s resignation from his post because of the allegations by Russia that Turkey buys oil from ISIS. Erdogan stated that he is ready to leave his post as the leader of the country if Russia provides proof that Turkey buys crude oil from Islamic State. This fact has already been discussed for a long time, but after the statements by Russian President Vladimir Putin that the government has every reason to suspect that the Su-24 was shot down by Ankara to provide cover for the illegal shipments of crude oil from Syria to Turkey, the controversy is of a global scale.
Even before the official statement of the Russian side, the British publication The Guardian had repeatedly published materials that the oil business with ISIS is booming and paying dividends to a number of interested countries, including Turkey. In addition, there is documentary evidence that Turkey provides military technical and medical assistance to the militants of Islamic State in exchange for the energy resource.
In a scientific study titled ‘IS gateway to global crude oil market' independent experts confirm the supply of crude oil to the southeastern regions of Turkey from Syria. According to the study, the volume of supplied oil is 1 million barrels a day. It turned out that illegal shipments are carried out through a Maltese shipping company, which is owned by Bilal Erdogan, the third son of the current president of the Republic of Turkey, Recep Tayyip Erdogan. Thus, on the face of all the evidence, Turkey is clearly among those countries that benefit from the interaction with ISIS, and the Russian president's accusations are not baseless.
The world community has not yet reacted to the situation, but only calls on Turkey and Russia to return to the previous level of their relationship. However, it is hardly possible in light of the fact that the Russian side is actively fighting international terrorism, in spite of all the attempts by the West to discredit the Kremlin's efforts, and Turkey, in turn, has de facto appeared on the side of those who threaten the stability and security of the world.
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The business publication Forbes wrote that Turkey has made a fatal mistake by entering into a confrontation with Russia. Even if Turkey does apologize for the downed Russian Su-24, this will not be enough. Russian President Vladimir Putin will never allow any country in the world to inflict any kind of damage to the citizens of his country. Moscow responded appropriately to Ankara by imposing the sanctions. Such a decision is fraught with dire consequences for the Republic of Turkey,.
Of course, the sanctions will affect the Russian economy, but given the number of countries that are willing to replace Turkish products on the Russian market, the complications are going to be temporary. The situation is quite different for Turkey. In addition to the fall in GDP due to the inability to export goods to Russia, the tourism sector of Turkey is under threat, despite the statements of the country that European tourists will replace the Russian ones. It is unlikely that this is possible against the background of all the events that are unfolding in the country.
In addition, the construction sector is highly dependent on Russia. About 20% of foreign transactions accounted for the Russian market. The imposition of the sanctions means another round of rising unemployment in the construction industry of the Republic. Most likely, the construction of the nuclear plant, begun by the Russian company Rosatom in Turkey, will be frozen for an indefinite period, or even discontinued. Experts believe that Erdogan made a huge miscalculation when he decided to start this conflict with Vladimir Putin. Obviously, the Turkish leader was counting on the support of the Western countries, which have repeatedly stressed their readiness to cooperate with Turkey. However, Erdogan's plan was destined to fail, and now the country is in a very precarious position, risking being isolated in the international political arena.
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