The National Interest: "In the next three years Russia and the US are awaiting for convergence"

By Vestnik Kavkaza
The National Interest: "In the next three years Russia and the US are awaiting for convergence"

The US analytical publication The National Interest wrote that the West should not expect a collapse of Russia. Given the tense relations that have been established to date between the United States and Russia, the two world leaders, it seems really difficult to predict how events will unfold in the near future. But it was the task put in front of the American Center for the National Interest that suggested three possible options of how relations would develop between the Kremlin and Washington in the next three years.

According to one forecast, the tension between the two countries would remain at a fairly high level, but they would not be sufficient to exclude any business cooperation. Most likely, it would be a competition, like the one between the US and China, which will not interfere with the joint solution of the international problems. Disagreements over the crisis in Ukraine will certainly have its impact on Washington's policy toward Moscow, but it is unlikely to be a fundamental factor in the relationship. For the United States there is a need to support the image of a superpower in a full scale, but at the same time not to cross the scope of confrontation with Russia, as it can be dangerous, especially for America. That is, according to the first scenario, the Russian-US relations would be maintained, initially on a fairly cool level, but over time there would be a chance to stabilize the situation.

The second scenario, by contrast, involves the further escalation of tensions. It is likely that Washington would continue the anti-Russian propaganda, in every way trying to discredit the image of the Kremlin on the international political arena. It is unlikely that Russia would go to an open confrontation with Washington, but it will try to dissociate itself from the American leadership by all means, and there would be no cooperation as such between the two countries. This scenario is the worst one for the global politics, because the organized struggle against international terrorism is impossible without the joint efforts of the two sides.

Finally, the third scenario assumes that Europe eventually would side with Russia, even though the difficulties over Ukraine, due to the fact that overcoming the crisis of migration and the fight against terrorism is not possible without the assistance of such a powerful state as Russia. In addition, the European economy as a whole suffers, because of the break in relations with Moscow. In this case, if the EU is to resume relations with Russia, the United States would have no choice but to develop a partnership with the Kremlin.

Analysts say that the third option is the most likely of all, because despite the fact that this is the Russian-American relations, first of all, Europe is suffering, being in a state of crisis, both economic and political. Most likely, in the next three years Russia and the US are waiting for convergence, at least in matters of the economy and the fight against the international terrorism.

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The US independent publication OpEdNews  wrote that if the West wants war, Russia is ready for it. The US foreign policy is focused on a single goal - to prevent the emergence of a power or a country that would capable confronting the hegemonic plans of Washington. The target was achievable as long as Russia did not interfere in the Syrian conflict, and plans of the American leadership crumbled like a house of cards.

The US troops in Iraq, Syria, Afganistan is nothing more than an attempt to keep control over the strategically important oil wealth of the Middle East. However, all the efforts are futile, since Russia has promptly demonstrated its strength and political will, which is much stronger than the will of the leaders of the United States. Even double play of Erdogan that caused by increased geopolitical tensions, is lunikely to play into the hands of Washington. Assuming that the Pentagon and NATO are really ready for war with Russia and not for fight against the international terrorism, in spite of all the statements, it is obvious that this idea is doomed to failure. Russia's military potential is much higher than the US’s, and Washington and Brussels are well aware about this. If anyone is ready for war, it is Russia.

However, to date, that Russia, perhaps, is the only state that is attempting to resolve the tensions not only in the Middle East region, but also in the world as a whole. The West should urgently reconsider its foreign policy toward the Kremlin, because the real threat comes from the terrorist organizations, and controversies  in the coalition only add fuel to the fire. The international community should join efforts to avoid a global catastrophe, the threat of which is becoming more apparent with each passing day.

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