By Vestnik Kavkaza
Earlier this week Paris hosted a meeting of the heads of the diplomatic departments of the U.S.A., the UK and France. American State of Secretary John Kerry stated that the government of Syrian President Bashar Assad had “lost legitimacy.” Damascus considered the statement as an intention to impose the West's will on the Syrian people in favor of the armed opposition.
“Today concentrations of militants in Syria are registered in Aleppo, Damascus and the road from Beirut to Damascus. Obviously the next attack by the Syrian Free Army, the Muslim Brotherhood, groups of Jabahat al Nusra and other terrorist groups will be committed in these key directions,” the president of the Middle East Institute, Yevgeny Satanovsky, thinks.
According to him, the situation is worsened by the fact that militants have got elements of chemical weapons: “There is GB gas which has been taken through Turkey from Iraq, from Iraqi labs sponsored by Saudi Arabia and partially seized by the Turkish special services. The origin of the mustard gas is probably from Gaddafi’s depots; there used to be about 11.5 tons when the regime collapsed; and it is not clear where some of the weapons have gone. We know that some was taken to Sinai to fight against Israel in Gaza; the Israelis coped with it, but it seems a part of it was taken to Syria.”
Considering this, Satanovsky expects new provocations from the opposition: “What will be the next provocation after Ghuta, which could be a reason for the physical destruction of Assad? A strike from Syria’s territory could be launched toward Israel to involve Israel in military activity.”
According to the expert, “nothing has changed within the civil war, with continuous elements of genocide against Christians and Shiahs, not only Alawis. The Kurds are involved in the war, even though it seemed impossible some time ago. Obviously, the Kurds are fighting not for Assad, but against the Islamists, who behave terribly in their residential areas. It has almost frozen the Turkish-Kurdish settlement. Today withdrawal of PKK troops has stopped.”
Satanovsky thinks that the West doesn’t need the destruction of Assad’s regime: “It is needed by Riyadh, Doha and Ankara. As a result, nothing will happen with the civil war in Syria. for sure the formula invented by Russia is perfect to stop intervention, but it is clear that intervention is demanded. If air forces, armored units, ammunition plants are not destroyed, the opposition can do nothing is Syria, just like it couldn’t do anything in Libya without foreign aggression. How the strike will be launched, under what justification, what results we will have – these are not so important questions. Even if Assad leaves, the genocide of the Alawis will remain an obvious fact. Then, another Alawi general will appear who will head the resistance, as the murder of several million people is not an acceptable thing for them. We saw it in Iraq that nobody would protect these people. Democratization covers only the business partners of our American, French, British colleagues, rather than those who don’t sign relevant contracts and don’t lobby them, searching for serious corresponding arguments.”
