The terrorist organizations displaced from Syria and Iraq are the most likely organizers of today's terrorist attacks in the Iranian parliament and the mausoleum of Imam Khomeini, the director of the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences Vitaly Naumkin said, speaking with the correspondent of Vestnik Kavkaza.
"First of all, of course, the obvious conclusion is that the main enemy of the Iranian government are such radicals as ISIS and Al-Qaeda, as well as other organizations that have intensified, after being pushed out from Syria and Iraq. They are trying to prove that they still exist. The last cruel terrorist attacks in Europe, and the penetration of terrorists into regions where they had not previously been seen, in particular, to Iran, caused by it as well," he noted in the first place.
"Do not forget about the strengthening of the ISIS positions in Afghanistan, where more than 3,500 militants have gathered. Such a spread of terrorist groups around the world is very dangerous. These terrorist attacks show that even Iran, where everything seems to be under the strong control of law enforcement agencies and special services, is also vulnerable," the director of the Institute of Oriental Studies of the Russian Academy of Sciences stressed.
We may assume other versions of what happened. "It is unlikely that it was done by some local terrorist organizations that are acting precisely against the authorities, and not from the positions of radicalism. Of course, there are versions connected with the drug mafia, the revenge of certain offended families, against which there were repressions. In addition, there are still people who are burning with a desire to overthrow the ruling regime," Vitaly Naumkin pointed out.
In his estimation, it will not lead to destabilization in the republic. "The same acts of terrorism in the UK and France do not suggest that these states are unstable. And we are talking about individual acts, so it is difficult to predict destabilization in the country," the scientist drew attention.
"I think that Iran will strengthen security measures that used to be soft enough. That is, Iran will cope with it, especially as there are no serious internal problems and any acute internal struggle there," Vitaly Naumkin concluded.
