The national conflict of the month, the escalating unrest in Egypt, which began after the dispersal of the supporters of the "Muslim Brotherhood" and ousted President Mohammed Morsi by the Egyptian army and police, is now in the focus of attention of the expert community around the world. In Moscow, the prospects of riots and a full scale war were discussed by the Advisor to the Deputy Chairman of the Federation Council of the Russian Federation, Ambassador Andrey Baklanov, Doctor of Philosophy, scholar of Islam, Alexander Ignatenko and doctor of historical sciences, professor Marina Sapronova.
Andrey Baklanov first recalled that this is already the third time that the "Muslim Brotherhood" has come on the political stage, and every time it happens when there is a crisis of power. Very recently they had a chance to finally gain a foothold as the ruling elite, but they did not succeed, because their socio-economic vision has not provided a way out of stagnation.
Now, according to Baklanov, the country is on the brink of civil war, and it is possible to use extreme measures, as only they can "prevent the tendency towards an escalation of the confrontation."
Ignatenko said that a few days ago 26 soldiers were killed in Sinai. The expert stressed that it was done not by the Egyptians, but by "Al Qaeda" or Hamas. In any case, it was done not by locals, but by an international, terrorist force. Ignatenko drew attention to the fact that the military is now fighting against the "Muslim Brotherhood" as a terrorist organization, according to the qualification suggested by the Prime Minister, in order to withdraw them from the political arena.
The expert concluded that currently there are several fronts of confrontation in Egypt, and that this is probably the beginning of a Civil War. "Will there be enough power to stop it in the beginning?" the expert asked.
Sapronova, in turn, noted that the concentration of extremist groups in Sinai comes from the 80's, and the revolution in 2011 changed only the nature of the game, but not the composition of players who remain the same: the "Muslim Brotherhood", representatives of the regime of Hosni Mubarak and the army. From the point of view of the expert, there are no prerequisites for a large-scale civil war. In addition, only two countries have made dramatic statements, and the European Union made a demand to the military only recently, and even that was reduced to the demand that the "Muslim Brotherhood" is not excluded from the political process.
