CASIC’s new anti-drone systems a nod to evolving nature of warfare and America’s likely use of drone swarms in a Taiwan conflict, Asia Times writes.
China will be showing its latest drone-killing technology alongside other advanced weapons at the 14th China International Aviation and Aerospace Exhibition, which runs in Zhuhai, Guangdong, through this week. China would unveil at the event a new anti-drone system built around small-and-micro missiles, advanced sensors and radar and unmanned ground vehicles.
The system, made by China Aerospace Science and Industry Corporation (CASIC), China’s largest missile manufacturer, is comprised of an electro-optic radar and DK-1 low-altitude detecting radar, the ZK-K20 ground missile anti-air control system, HQ-17AE and QW-12 short-range missiles and the ZR-1500 unmanned smart defense weapon system.
The electro-optic radar and DK-1 low-altitude detecting radar work together to provide early warning and can detect multiple targets simultaneously. It can reportedly pinpoint 20 targets per second from 500 meters to 18 kilometers. Apart from drones, the DK-1 can detect ground vehicle targets as well.
The ZK-K20 ground missile anti-air control system is the system’s “brain” that integrates sensors and missiles, with the HQ-17AE and QW-12 as the primary weapons. The former missile has an interception range of 1.5 to 20 kilometers, with the system capable of guiding four missiles simultaneously.
In addition, the ZK-K20 system is armed with a soft-kill anti-drone electronic warfare suite and a cannonball launcher to solve cost issues in intercepting cheap drones.
The ZR-1500 serves as the security element for the system and is armed with 12 micro-missiles, four small missiles and two loitering munitions, and can switch to other weapons such as machine guns if needed. It reportedly has an intercept range of 5 kilometers against targets such as fixed-wing aircraft, helicopters, drones, ground vehicles and personnel.
“The rise of low, slow and small drones with rather agile applications on the battlefield has transformed the landscape of warfare, which tends to achieve surprisingly good strike effects,” says CASIC spokesperson Wang Wengang. He notes that even the best air defenses can become useless against such drones, as they usually fly too low to be detected.
Recent rapid developments in drone warfare have shown they are now effective weapons in large-scale conventional wars, debunking previous thinking that drones are high-tech gadgets reserved for special forces in counterterrorism and insurgency roles. These developments likely prompted China to invest in anti-drone defenses.
The 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh war, the ongoing events in Ukraine and the hypothetical use of drone swarms in a Taiwan conflict scenario all underline the evolution of warfare using drones in a mainstream role.
Azerbaijan used its Turkish-made Bayraktar TB2 drones and Israeli Harpy loitering munitions to significant effect against Armenian forces. To be sure, attributing Azerbaijan’s war win against Armenia solely on the former’s drones overlooks the two sides’ military asymmetry, with Azerbaijan’s military much larger and more modern than Armenia’s. Ukraine used its Bayraktar drones against Russian forces to potent effect in the early months of the special operation. However, their effectiveness has reportedly diminished.
In a July article for Insider, Alia Shoaib notes that Russia has improved its defense systems by jamming and destroying many of Ukraine’s drones. Ukraine is losing drones far more quickly due to improved Russian defenses, and Ukraine’s drone losses may not be sustainable.
However, the greatest eye-opener for China to develop its anti-drone defenses may be the decisive role drone swarms could play in an invasion of Taiwan. Drone swarms could turn the favor of a possible Taiwan conflict to the US and its allies, noting that these swarms can be deployed together with advanced stealth aircraft to hit Chinese ships, planes, and missile batteries.
Moreover, drone swarms can form a screen for sophisticated manned aircraft, extending the range of the latter’s onboard sensors, enabling them to observe electronic silence to avoid detection and flood enemy radar screens as decoys, forcing the enemy to expend limited missile and ammunition before manned systems move to in for the kill.
China has no doubt been watching these drone warfare developments and is aware that it might be on the receiving end of drone attacks in a potential regional conflict with the US and its allies.
The development of CASIC’s new anti-drone system attests to China’s appreciation that drones have become a mainstay of large-scale warfare. Moreover, it demonstrates a sense of urgency to counter their evolving and fast-moving threat.
