President of the Center for Strategic Studies Russia and Islamic World, Shamil Sultanov, commented on the current situation in Syria and predicted how the situation will develop in the future. According to the expert, the destabilization of the country will continue for at least another 3 years.
"I would like to say that the sharp destabilization in Syria will continue for at least three years. Why? Because there are some political science models that say that if the war lasts for three years, in order to enter into a stable environment you need a minimum of another three years. But apparently the situation here will be unstable, dangerous, dangerous for the world and the region, and so on for at least seven or eight years. And I think even longer," the expert said.
"If you recall in Algeria the situation lasted 10 years, and then another 5 or 6 years were necessary in order to stabilize the situation more or less. In our interdependent world, everything is connected, necessarily one conflict gives rise to another. The question is this. Everybody seems to be interested, the Americans and us, Beijing and Tehran, that the situation is stable, but the conflict in Syria has now entered a phase where it does not depend on Assad, or Putin, or Obama. It goes through its own channels. This is the worst. There is opposition, the extremist opposition, 30-35 thousand people. This force, which corresponds approximately to 8 or 10 divisions of a regular army. To defeat them you need 10-12 divisions. These people get money from the Turks, from Saudi Arabia, from Qatar, but they pursue their own aims. To consider them puppets of Qatar or Saudi fat sheiks is wrong. There arises a new galaxy of commanders, of charismatic leaders, in comparison to whom all the moderates are slugs, forgive my language. These are people who are willing to die for their ideals, people who are willing to lose their lives every day. This new power is growing. This new force is amazing, very interesting and very dangerous," he said.
